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Germany, German federal election

Long term
Which party will receive the most votes in the 20th German federal election?15.10.21 08:00
1.05CDU/CSU6.00Alliance '90/The Greens
25.00SPD25.00AfD (Alternative for Germany)
50.00FDP50.00Die Linke
Which party will receive more votes in the 20th German federal election?15.10.21 08:00
1.30SPD3.00AfD (Alternative for Germany)

German federal election

Who will be the next German Chancellor?

Who will be the next German Chancellor? Which party will receive the most votes? You can find the latest bets on the German federal election at bet-at-home. Use your expert knowledge and secure top chances of winning with our election bets. Bet on the German federal election now!

The electoral system

Every voter has two votes at the German federal election. The first vote is used to elect a direct candidate, while the second vote is used to elect a party. The direct candidate, however, does not refer to the Chancellor. Direct candidates can enter the German Bundestag if they receive enough votes, even if they are not members of a party. If a party receives more than five percent of valid second votes, seats will be allocated to it in the Bundestag (five-percent threshold). At bet-at-home, you can find numerous special bets right before the German federal election: How high will the voter turnout be? How will the distribution of seats look like? You can find all info and betting tips from our experts in the bet-at-home blog. Secure top odds now and bet on the next German Chancellor!

The German Bundestag

Usually, the Bundestag has 589 members. However, its number has grown to 709 seats until today due to the overhang seats. This “expansion” is caused by the first votes which determine direct mandates. A party might, therefore, receive more seats than it would actually be entitled to according to its second votes. This problem is a known fact among the factions. However, an agreement to renew the electoral law has not been reached yet. Thus, the number of seats might increase once more at the German federal election 2021.

The German federal election 2017

At the German federal election on 24 September 2017, voters had the chance to elect one out of 48 parties. Despite the fourth triumph of Angela Merkel and the CDU/CSU, the AfD turned out to be the federal election’s big winners. With 12.6% of votes, the AfD became the third strongest party in the Bundestag. Both the CDU/CSU and the SPD suffered big losses.

The parties

After the last federal election, the CDU/CSU continued to be the strongest political force in the German Bundestag with 246 seats. However, 355 seats are needed for an absolute majority. The SPD entered the new Bundestag with 153 seats. Shortly after the election, Martin Schulz then announced to go into opposition. With 94 seats, the AfD became the third strongest party in the German Bundestag, followed by the FDP with 80 seats and the Left (Die Linke) with 69 seats. The Greens (Die Grünen) came in last with 67 seats.

German federal election 2017: Voter turnout

About 61.5 million German citizens were entitled to vote at the federal election 2017. About 75.6% of them actually cast their vote back then. This means that the voter turnout has been about 4% higher than at the last federal election in 2013. All German citizens at the age of 18 and above are entitled to vote. The highest voter turnout has been reached in 1972 with 91.1 percent. Back then, Willy Brandt was elected German Chancellor for the fourth time. One year earlier, he was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for his political achievements with the German Democratic Republic, the Soviet Union and the Eastern bloc countries. The lowest voter turnout at a federal election has been reached in 2009 with only 70.8%.

More politics bets

You can find current politics bets on international events here: Austrian parliamentary election, 2020 US elections, Austrian presidential election.
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